Living Up to Truth
by Rabbi Dr. Dovid Gottlieb
2nd Revised Edition
Title Page | Author's Preface | Translater's Forward
I - The Relevance of Religion | II - Religion: Pragmatism or Truth? | III - Belief and Action: Criteria for Responsible Decision | IV - True Predictions | V - Archeology | VI - Revelation and Miracles - the Kuzari Principle | VII - Jewish Survival - the Fact and its Implications | VIII - Summary and Conclusion
VI
REVELATION AND MIRACLES - THE KUZARI PRINCIPLE
Section 1 | Section 2 | Section 3 | Section 4 | Section 5 | Section 6 | Section 7 | Section 8 | Section 9 | Section 10 | Section 11 | Section 12 | Chapter Summary
I will now be presenting a key argument originally formulated
by the Kuzari concerning the belief in miracles. The Bible records
many miraculous events. Verifying these reports is necessary:
first, to verify the Bible as an accurate record of historic events,
and second, as evidence for G-d's intervention in history. Therefore,
this argument plays a crucial role in the overall assessment of
evidence for the truth of the Torah.
I will present this argument twice because it is not a simple
argument. First I will present it incompletely in outline form,
and then I will take you through it in detail. We begin by taking
a miracle which is described as occurring to a large number of
people, in our case the entire generation. Take, for example,
the revelation at Sinai. There are people who believe that the
revelation at Sinai occurred. I'm not going to assume that because
people believed it that it must have occurred. That is called
"begging the question." However, it is a fact that there
are people who believe it occurred.
Now they believe it because the previous generation taught it
to them. Likewise, that generation believes it because the previous
generation taught it to them. So you have a chain of generations
of believers going back in time. That is a fact. The question
then is, how did the chain get started? Who were the first believers?
How did they arrive at their belief?
Again, oversimplifying, this is only the outline: There are two
broad possibilities. One: the event at Sinai took place and people
witnessed it, and that caused their belief. Or two: the event
did not take place. If the event did not take place, then someone
invented the story and convinced the people to believe it.
The Kuzari's argument proceeds by investigating the second alternative,
that the event didn't happen, that the story was made up and was
sold. The argument shows that the second alternative is not credible.
It is not credible to believe that the story was made up and then
sold. If you can defeat the second alternative, that leaves only
the first alternative, that it happened and was witnessed. That
is the structure of the argument.
SUMMARY
In oversimplified terms: the belief in the revelation at Sinai
must have started in one of two ways. Either the revelation took
place and its memory preserved, or it did not take place and someone
invented the story and convinced others to believe it. The Kuzari's
argument discredits the second alternative and thus establishes
the first.
Section 1 | Section 2 | Section 3 | Section 4 | Section 5 | Section 6 | Section 7 | Section 8 | Section 9 | Section 10 | Section 11 | Section 12 | Chapter Summary
The account of the second alternative proceeds as follows. This
is incomplete and is only an outline. Imagine someone making up
the story and trying to sell it. He is going to come to a group
of people and he is going to tell them that sometime in the past
their ancestors stood at a mountain and heard G-d speak. He is
not talking about people in China or Tibet. He is talking about
the ancestors of his audience. He is claiming that G-d revealed
Himself to all of their ancestors simultaneously and by so doing
founded a new religion.
What is the question with which the audience will confront him?
The obvious question is: If this happened to our ancestors, how
is it that no one knows about it but you? What happened to the
memory of that event? Everybody simply forgot it? They were more
interested in the soccer scores? No one told us about it? The
whole religion just disappeared? It is simply not credible to
tell an entire nation that their collective ancestors witnessed
such an earth-shattering event and that it was forgotten. It would
be impossible to explain why the memory of the event disappeared.
Therefore, says the Kuzari, the person inventing the story and
trying to sell it will never succeed.
To give you a simple parallel, suppose someone told you today
that five hundred years ago gold grew on trees throughout Romania.
Gold grew on trees for twenty years and then there was a blight
that killed all the gold trees. Would you believe it? Would you
have to go to an encyclopedia and look up Rumanian history? I
don't think that you would need to investigate the history of
Rumania. If such a thing had happened, you would already know
about it. It would have been so spectacular that everyone would
know about it. The books would be filled with it; novels would
have been written about it; there would be botanical research
projects to find out what happened to the gold trees and how to
reproduce them. It is not the kind of thing that people forget.
Similarly, the revelation of G-d to an entire ancestry of a nation
is not the kind of event that would be forgotten; and therefore
if a person is inventing the story and trying to sell it, he will
not be able to sell it to his audience. The reason is that he
will not be able to explain why no one else remembers that incredible
event. That means that the alternative of making it up and selling
it is not credible. If that alternative is not credible, we are
left with only one alternative, and that is that the event really
happened and that people witnessed it. That is the general structure
of the argument in an incomplete and outlined form.
SUMMARY
The story could not be invented and people persuaded to believe
it because whoever tried to invent it would not be able to explain
why no one else remembered it. Since he cannot explain that, he
would not be believed. Thus the other possibility must be true:
the event must have occurred.
Section 1 | Section 2 | Section 3 | Section 4 | Section 5 | Section 6 | Section 7 | Section 8 | Section 9 | Section 10 | Section 11 | Section 12 | Chapter Summary
Now, let me take you through the argument in detail. It will be
considerably longer this time. The first point again: we have
a chain of generations going backwards in time who believe that
these miracles took place: Revelation at Sinai, the crossing of
the Red Sea, the plagues in Egypt, the manna and others. Today,
this group constitutes hundreds of millions of people. (Some Jews,
and some Christians, some Moslems, etc.) The question is: How
did that belief originate? It is not of interest now that there
are non-believers. There will always be non-believers. There are
even non-believers in the Holocaust. What is at issue is that
there are believers, a considerably large number of believers,
and we want to explain the fact that they believe it. It is a
psychological and sociological fact that they believe it. How
did this belief first arise?
Now, the principle that the Kuzari uses put into modern language
is as follows. I beg you to look at it, hear it, and pay close
attention to all of the details in it because I have written this
as carefully as I can. Let E be a possible event which,
had it really occurred, would have left behind enormous, easily
available evidence of its occurrence. If the evidence does not
exist, people will not believe that E occurred.
Let's consider a possible event, that is to say an event about
which we don't know whether or not it occurred. Let's suppose
it is an event which if it had occurred, it would have
left behind enormous, easily available evidence of its occurrence.
Well, if we don't have the evidence then we will not believe it
occurred.
That's what the principle says. Let's try to put it in simpler
terms. Someone is trying to convince me that a war, or an earthquake,
or something like that happened. If he is right that it (the war,
earthquake, etc.) really happened, I should know about it already.
I shouldn't need him to tell me. Then the principle tells me that
I will not be convinced by him. The problem of the missing knowledge
will prevent me from believing him.
Of course, when I say that "people will not believe,"
I don't mean that no one will believe. After all, there are people
who believe in flying saucers, or that they are Napoleon, or that
the Miami Dolphins will win the Super Bowl! What I mean is that
you will not be able to get the vast majority of a nation to accept
such a view about their own ancestors when no one in fact remembers
it.
So, for example, here is a possible event of the right type: a
volcanic eruption in the middle of Manhattan in 1975. If that
had happened, that would have left behind enormous, easily available
evidence to all of us in 1995. If a volcanic eruption had really
occurred in 1975, there would be newspaper reports, books, there
would be signs in New York of the lava under the concrete and
so on. And I could say to myself: "If he is right that the
volcanic eruption really happened, I should know about it already.
I shouldn't need him to tell me." That is why we would not
believe someone who tried to convince us that it happened.
Similarly with gold growing on trees throughout Romania five hundred
years ago. Even if the event took place five hundred years ago
in such a remote spot as Rumania, the social memory of that event
would have left behind enormous, easily available evidence of
its occurrence. And we could make the same observation: If gold
really grew on trees we should know about it ourselves without
this person having to tell us.
That is the kind of event that we are talking about. An event
which, if it had happened would have left behind an enormous amount
of easily available evidence of its occurrence. I stress this
because the counter-examples that people usually think of are
mistakes because they will not respect the definition.
SUMMARY
If people believe that an event occurred, then their belief
must be explained. The Kuzari principle says that one kind
of event will not be believed unless it occurred. That kind
is: an event which, if it had occurred, would have left behind
enormous, easily available evidence of its occurrence. Thus, for
an event of that kind, if people believe that it
occurred, then it must have occurred.
Section 1 | Section 2 | Section 3 | Section 4 | Section 5 | Section 6 | Section 7 | Section 8 | Section 9 | Section 10 | Section 11 | Section 12 | Chapter Summary
The application of this principle to public miracles follows directly.
A public miracle, especially a miracle which is described as occurring
to an entire nation, is the kind of event which if it had
happened would have left behind enormous, easily available
evidence of its occurrence. The evidence would be in the form
of social memory, just like the evidence we would have had of
gold growing on trees throughout Rumania. People don't forget
things like that. Therefore a public miracle, public in the large
sense of the whole world, or a whole nation, is the kind of event
which, if it did happen, would leave behind enormous, easily available
evidence of its occurrence. If the event did not take place, and
therefore the evidence was missing, you couldn't get people to
believe in it. That is how the Kuzari principle applies to public
miracles.
Now, let me explain to you how limited this principle is. This
principle states a limit on human credulity. People throughout
history have believed a wide variety of crazy things. This principle
says that there is a limit to how foolish people will be. They
will believe a wide variety of crazy things, but not every
crazy thing. There is a limit. The limit is an event which
if it had happened would have left behind enormous, easily available
evidence of its occurrence, and which in fact didn't happen and
therefore the evidence was missing.
Let me give you some examples. In the Middle Ages, people in Europe
believed in dragons. Doesn't that demonstrate that you can sell
anybody anything? Think about the kinds of beliefs that they had
about dragons. Here is one belief that they never entertained.
People did not believe that a dragon marched into downtown London
in the middle of the day, burnt hundreds of people to death with
its fiery breath, knocked over buildings with its tail, and then
drowned in the Thames. Why not? If you can sell people anything,
if you can make up any story and get credulous people to
believe it, how is it no one ever believed that?
What kinds of stories did they believe about the dragons? Sir
Galahad comes riding in from the forest, his armor is dented,
he's bruised and bleeding. "What happened Sir Galahad?"
"I had an encounter with the dragon." Well, maybe he
did and maybe he didn't. The listener have no way of checking
it out. Even if it did happen, it wouldn't leave behind enormous,
easily available evidence to him of its occurrence. Since
it doesn't meet the condition of leaving behind enormous, easily
available evidence, you can sell him anything. As long as the
audience would have no access to evidence even if the event occurred,
the audience has to decide whether to trust the witness or not.
If he is tall, if he is handsome, if he writes sonnets, if he
is good at jousting, then maybe I will believe him. Why? Because
he describes an event which even if it had happened, would be
inaccessible to me. If you describe it as inaccessible, you can
sell anything.
Achilles comes down from the mountain and he says, "I just
met Athena and she gave me a new strategy for the war." Now,
if you are in the Greek camp down below, you have no access to
evidence. You don't know what happened on the mountain top. At
that point, all bets are off. At that point you can get people
to believe without limit. Only when you have an event which meets
the Kuzari's conditions, an event which if it had happened would
have left behind enormous, easily available evidence of its occurrence
to the audience, are you out of luck and not able to sell it.
That is what the Kuzari says.
Take, for example, Christian "miracles." Many people
feel that if we had a good reason to believe in miracles, we would
be embarrassed by Christian claims to miracles. There are two
things wrong with this worry.
Number one, we have no commitment against Christian miracles.
As far as we are concerned, maybe the Christian miracles did take
place, because in Judaism, miracles alone prove nothing. It says
in Deuteronomy, Chapter 13, that there will be false prophets
who will do miracles! So, if someone tries to prove that he has
a message from G-d by strolling on the lake, that proves nothing.
It could be that he is one of the false prophets who does miracles.
So I have no particular commitment against Christian miracles.
If they happen to have occurred then they would qualify for Deuteronomy
13.
Number two, the Christian miracles were by and large semi-private
affairs witnessed by no more than a few thousand people. Now a
few thousand people, if you are making up the story fifty years
later, is by no means the entire ancestry of a nation. The audience
will ask themselves: "If it really happened, must I assume
that everyone would have believed it and then created a social
memory which would have been available to me today? Maybe the
story was incredible to them?" Perhaps so, and then the Kuzari
principle does not apply. Only if the audience is convinced that
if the event had happened they surely would have known of it does
the principle apply. In this case the audience would not necessarily
have been convinced.
SUMMARY
The Kuzari principle applies to public, especially national,
miracles, since they will create social memory of their occurrence.
It does not apply to beliefs in dragons, Greek gods, or
Christian "miracles" since even if they had occurred,
they would not have left sufficient public evidence of their occurrence.
Section 1 | Section 2 | Section 3 | Section 4 | Section 5 | Section 6 | Section 7 | Section 8 | Section 9 | Section 10 | Section 11 | Section 12 | Chapter Summary
Now, some people confuse the Kuzari's principle with its converse
in the following way. They say you are trying to claim that enormous,
easily available evidence is very powerful, powerful enough to
wipe out all opposition, powerful enough to settle all issues.
What about people today who do not believe in the Holocaust? The
Holocaust took place only fifty years ago. There is enormous,
easily available evidence of its occurrence. You could talk to
thousands of survivors who are still alive today. There are books,
records, photographic materials, death camps that you can visit,
and yet there are people today who don't believe in the Holocaust.
Doesn't that show that enormous, easily available evidence doesn't
settle all questions?
The answer is yes, it does show that, but that is not what the
Kuzari's principle says. Now listen carefully, this is a point
of logic. The Kuzari's principle says that for an event which
if it had occurred would have left behind
enormous, easily available evidence of its occurrence, and
didn't occur, you can't get people to believe in it
What would you need to show that this principle is false? You
would need an event which did not occur, and yet people
believed in it. That would show that the principle is false. You
would need an event which you would expect to find evidence for,
the evidence is missing because the event did not happen, and
yet people managed to believe in it. Now with the Holocaust you
have the opposite. Here you have an event which did occur
and yet people don't believe it did. That is not a counter-example
to the principle. It is the opposite.
Now some will say: "Okay, that is a fine point of logic,
it did occur, it didn't occur, you do believe it, you don't believe
it, but still, isn't it really the same thing? Doesn't it come
down to the same thing that such evidence doesn't settle all questions?"
The answer is no, it does not come down to the same thing. There
is a crucial difference between the Kuzari's principle and the
case of the Holocaust. The reason is that everyone has to sift
and be selective when he considers evidence. Sometimes evidence
is fabricated, sometimes the evidence is irrelevant, sometimes
it is misinterpreted. You cannot simply buy all presented evidence
and take it uncritically. We are always sifting, rejecting some,
and accepting some. When we come to the Holocaust, these nuts
say we know that sometimes evidence is fabricated or misleading:
in this case all of it is fabricated or misleading. In
other words, they are taking a normal part of human cognitive
life and simply blowing it beyond its appropriate boundaries.
They say that sometimes you have to reject some proposed
evidence; in this case they want you to reject all the evidence.
Now that you can imagine happening at least on the fringes of
society. But the case of the Kuzari is the opposite. To violate
the Kuzari principle we have to believe something for which all
the expected evidence is missing. If it were true that there ought
to be evidence, and there isn't any evidence, we would never accept
a belief. That is not part of our normal cognitive life. We are
never confronted with a case where if it had happened the evidence
ought to be all over in front of me and there is no evidence,
and yet I leap over that hurdle and believe. Therefore, the disbelievers
in the Holocaust are irrelvant to the Kuzari's principle.
[Some will wonder whether we have avoided the objection only by
defining the event positively, i.e. as the occurrence of
the Holocaust. There is no reason in principle, they will say,
that we could not consider the non-occurrence of the Holocaust
as an equally bona fide event. How would we avoid the objection
then? Well, let's try to see how the objection would go.
The non-occurrence of the Holocaust (the second World War without
the massacre of 6,000,000 Jews) is a possible event. If it had
happened - if the second World War had not included the massacre
of 6,000,000 Jews - then there would be enormous, easily available
evidence of that event. The evidence would be in the form of histories
of the second World War making no mention of the Holocaust. The
absence of the event from the histories would surely be compelling
evidence that the event did not take place. Since the evidence
is in fact missing - the histories of the second World War do
in fact include the Holocaust - the Kuzari principle says that
people should not believe in the event. That is, they should not
believe in the non-occurrence of the Holocaust.
I think this argument is correct: the Kuzari principle predicts
that you cannot get people to believe that the Holocaust did not
occur. But the prediction is in fact correct! More than ninety
per cent of contemporary Americans believe in the Holocaust. The
Kuzari principle does not say that no one will accept such
a belief. For any kind of craziness you can find some believers!
It says that a whole society will not accept the occurrence of
an event when it lacks the evidence it should have had if the
event had occurred. That has not happened in the case of the Holocaust.
And even if it were to happen in the future (G-d forbid) that
a great number of Americans come to disbelieve the Holocaust,
that would still not be directly relevant to our use of the Kuzari
principle since the Holocaust did not happen to their ancestors.
Since to them it is a foreign event, perhaps they can explain
to themselves why they do not possess the expected evidence. This
will have no bearing on the ability of the descendants of the
witnesses themselves to explain their lack of the relevant evidence.]
SUMMARY
To contradict the Kuzari principle we would need an event which
did not happen, and would have left behind
enormous evidence if it had happened, and yet people believe
it happened. The holocaust is the opposite: it did happen,
and some people do not believe it. Therefore the holocaust
doe not contradict the Kuzari principle. Those who reject the
Holocaust take normal caution with respect to evidence and irrationally
expand that caution to reject all evidence for the Holocaust.
Nothing comparable could lead to violating the Kuzari principle.
Section 1 | Section 2 | Section 3 | Section 4 | Section 5 | Section 6 | Section 7 | Section 8 | Section 9 | Section 10 | Section 11 | Section 12 | Chapter Summary
Now let's examine the principle itself. What kind of principle
is this? At base it is a principle of empirical psychology. It
is a principle describing how people come to believe things. It
says that under certain conditions, beliefs won't form. People
will not come to believe in events that the Kuzari's principle
forbids.
Why should we accept this principle? After all, everything relies
on this principle. Could we defeat it? Here is one way not
to go about it. We should not say: "You are telling me that
just because it is an event that if it had happened would have
left behind enormous, easily available evidence, that you can't
get people to believe it? I don't think that is right. I can imagine
very well that a very influential priesthood, or a very powerful
leader, or a person whom you would think has magical powers, convincing
people to believe in even things like that. I don't think there
is any limit to what the populace can believe. I think I could
even write a very convincing novel describing such a case and
get it pulished."
Does your ability to imagine such a case defeat the principle?
The answer is no. This is a principle about real people
in the real world. The principle doesn't say anything about
your imagination. People can imagine all sorts of things. They
can even imagine impossible things. People have imagined
squaring a circle; it just happens to be mathematically impossible.
I know people who imagine machines that run without loss of any
energy. There are people who design them every year. The Second
Law of Thermodynamics says that it is impossible, yet they do
it anyway.
The limits are on your imagination are is of no interest. The
question is: Do real people in the real world accept beliefs
like that? The only way to defeat the Kuzari's principle is
to find real cases. Real cases of communities that have come
to believe events which if they had happened would have left behind
enormous, easily available evidence of its occurrence, and didn't
happen, and therefore the evidence wasn't present. I have never
yet come across such an event, nothing even remotely resembling
such an event.
I'll give you some more examples of non-contenders. People say:
"Didn't the vast majority of Germans believe that the Jews
stabbed Germany in the back during the first World War? Didn't
they believe that Jews had control of international business and
banking?" Of course they believed those things, but put yourself
in the position of the average German shopkeeper or bus driver.
You are told thirty years later that the Jews stabbed us in the
back in the first World War. (Even the description is important.
When someone stabs you in the back, you don't see them.) What
kind of back-stabbing are they describing? Do they say for example
that during the first World War that Jews lay down in front of
German tanks and stopped them from moving? No, they don't say
that, because they know that if they say that, no one will believe
it. After all, the soldiers in that war were still alive. They
know that didn't happen. No, they stabbed us in the back.
They covered their tracks and nobody ever caught them. Because
if you claim that it happened in public, nobody will believe you.
Again, put yourself in the position of the average German shopkeeper
and bus driver. You are told that the Jews control the international
business community. Could you get evidence about that? Of course
not, there is no way for you to check that claim. Even if it
were true you would not have the evidence. Then people will
believe anything. As long as you make the claim something which,
even if it were true, your audience would not have the evidence,
then the audience has to decide whether you are credible or not
and people can make awful mistakes about that.
That is why the claim of the Nazis that the bigger the lie the
more successful it will be is wrong. It is a mistake, because
a really big lie would have been to lie about something that everyone
experienced. They didn't do that, because you can't lie about
that which everyone experienced, because if it had happened would
have left behind enormous, easily available evidence of its occurrence.
Some people ask about the massacre in Tiananmen Square. Almost
everyone in China believes that the students massed against the
soldiers and attacked them and the soldiers fired in self-defense.
Correct, but if you live in Shanghai, could you get evidence as
to what happened in Tiananmen Square? How would you get it? There
is no evidence available to you except what is played out on Chinese
television, and that is controlled. So again, the vast majority
of people in China would not have evidence even if the massacre
occurred. Under those conditions you can sell them anything.
Someone once asked me if there wasn't a belief in ancient times
that human beings spoke with animals via a common language. Now
that is presumably a false belief about the whole of human ancestry.
Isn't that something that would have left behind evidence? The
answer is no. If you date the event, when did they say it happened?
If you check the records of those ancient people and ask when
they say it was that human beings spoke with animals, they always
place it so far in the past that there is no information that
survives to them from that time. Of course, if you place it
that far in the past, you have then made it something which, even
if it had happened, would not have left behind enormous, easily
available evidence of its occurrence to this audience.
If this audience has no access to the evidence you can sell them
anything you want.
So, the principle asserts that you cannot create beliefs of this
kind. The principle rests simply on the experience of mankind
that people don't believe these sorts of things. If they don't
believe these sorts of things, then when you have such an event,
as for example a public miracle, if people do believe it, the
alternate scenario of its having been made up has now been discredited.
That being the case, the only thing that is left is to accept
the event as having occurred.
SUMMARY
The Kuzari principle concerns the psychology of belief formation.
It says that real people in the real world do not believe an event
occurred if, had the event occurred, they should possess evidence
which they inexplicably do not have. Imagined belief of
such events is not relevant to the principle's claim that real
people do not accept such beliefs.
Section 1 | Section 2 | Section 3 | Section 4 | Section 5 | Section 6 | Section 7 | Section 8 | Section 9 | Section 10 | Section 11 | Section 12 | Chapter Summary
Now there are two qualifications. First of all,
when you have an account of a miracle, part of what you rely upon
is the reliability of the description of the miracle. Maybe something
happened, but who says that the description of what happened is
accurate? Maybe the people who witnessed it misunderstood it.
Maybe they misperceived it. What criteria do I need in order to
lend credence to the particular description of the event that
I get from the witnesses?
It seems to me that an eye witness report is made compelling
by the following factors. Calm: If they were upset,
anxious, afraid, if the event astounded or stupefied them, that
may cast some doubt on their ability to describe the event
appropriately. Repetition: rarely are miracles repeated.
If they were repeated, the more times that they are repeated,
the more credible and compelling the eye witness account
becomes. Corroboration: How many people witnessed
the event? If it is one or two then it becomes less compelling.
If it is thousands or tens of thousands it becomes more
compelling. Irrelevance of expertise: You
do not want a witness drawing a conclusion which he is not equipped
to draw. If I visit an atomic laboratory, and I come out and you
ask: "Was the cyclotron on?" And I say "Well, the
machine in the corner was blinking its lights red and blue, but
I don't know if it was the cyclotron or whether it was a coffee
machine. I don't know what it was. I can't tell those things!"
You do not want a witness drawing conclusions that he does not
have the expertise to substantiate. Absence of self interest:
If a person has an interest in telling the story one way or another,
then you can suspect that he is motivated by self-interest.
Now, I said the presence of these factors makes the report compelling.
What does that mean if one of the factors is missing? Does that
mean that the report is worthless? No, it just means that it is
less compelling. It does not mean that it is valueless.
It does not mean that it has no evidential strength. It just means
that it is not as compelling. When you have all of these,
then you have a compelling report.
Now Rav Yehuda Halevi, who created this argument, applied it most
directly to the miracle of the manna. If I were looking at the
Bible for outstanding miracles, I don't think that I would choose
the manna. It is not so spectacular, they just ate something they
found on the ground every morning for thirty-nine years. (After
the Jews left Egypt, they traveled in the desert for forty years.
During most of this journey the Jews were without food, so G-d
provided the Jews with the miracle of the manna, a life-sustaining
substance that was found on the ground every morning). The reason
he chose this is because it fits the conditions that we previously
described perfectly.
It is something that happened thousands of times. Maybe the first
few times they were astounded or stupefied and in shock, but after
the thousandth time or the ten-thousandth time, I cannot imagine
that they were still in such shock that they could not calmly
investigate what is taking place. You have here repetition galore.
Corroboration? It is something that was witnessed by an entire
nation. You cannot find much greater corroboration than that.
Irrelevance of expertise? You do not have to be an expert to know
that every morning you woke up, scooped the stuff off the ground
and ate it and it nourished you. That is not drawing conclusions
about cyclotrons.
As far as the application of self-interest is concerned, this
can be ruled out in the following manner. We are talking now about
an event being misreported. How could self-interest have
created the story of the manna if it didn't happen? It couldn't
have been created later than the event even if they had wanted
to make it up, because that is a direct application of the Kuzari's
Principle. If you make it up later, people will ask you, if it
really happened to all of our ancestors, how come no one knows
about it but you? It is not the kind of event you can make up
because if it had happened, it would have left behind enormous,
easily available evidence of its occurrence, and if it didn't
occur, then there is no evidence of its occurrence. So, you could
not make it up later.
Could self-interest have produced a false report while the event
was going on? Clearly not. We are talking about an event which
repeated thousands of times. It was experienced by an entire nation.
Who is going to make a false report of it when everybody experiences
it every day and sees that the report is false? So, even if there
were self-interest, it could not play a role here in creating
a false report of the event. Therefore says the Kuzari, the manna
is the strongest candidate for a credible miracle. It is credible
because of its public nature, and the reports about what happened
are credible because they meet all the conditions we have discussed.
SUMMARY
The report of a miracle is compelling if the witnesses were
calm, there was repetition, the report is corroborated, expertise
is not needed to make the report, and there is no self-interest
in making the report. Weakness or absence of any of the factors
weakens the credibility of the report without destroying
it entirely. The manna is a miracle whose report is compelling.
Section 1 | Section 2 | Section 3 | Section 4 | Section 5 | Section 6 | Section 7 | Section 8 | Section 9 | Section 10 | Section 11 | Section 12 | Chapter Summary
Other miracles, like the Revelation at Sinai and the crossing
of the sea, are somewhat less compelling. They happened only once
and they took place at a time when the people were in a very agitated
state of mind. Therefore, one would have to scale down
the credibility of the detailed reports. Still, that some
sort of astounding, miraculous event took place is something which
all the reports have in common and which is directly verified
by the Kuzari's Principle.
There is also a kind of domino effect here. If you have one miracle
which you can strongly substantiate, one miracle for which the
argument is perfect, once you breach the natural order, it then
becomes possible to accept the account of other miracles more
easily. I'll give you an analogy. Suppose you have a person whom
you believe to be honest in a business and there is money missing
from the business. Someone accuses this honest fellow. You are
not likely to accept the accusation even if there is some evidence
that he was in the right place at the right time. You say: "I
know him to be an honest fellow. Therefore I cannot suspect him."
Now, let's suppose you find one incident in which he is known
to have cheated. Just one. That changes the entire picture. Now
you know that he isn't completely honest. Then, when you have
evidence that he was in the right place at the right time, you
take it seriously. Once you broke the consistent picture of honesty,
then he becomes suspected of any misdoings that take place.
Similarly here: if you can believe in nature without exception,
it is difficult to argue that there was a breach of nature. But
once you have argued successfully that there was a single breach
of nature, it becomes easier to argue for other breaches of nature
in the future. So, if you take the argument for the manna to be
extremely powerful and conclusive, then the amount of evidence
you need for the other miracles is reduced.
SUMMARY
Even if detailed reports of certain miracles have less
than perfect credibility, the general description that
something miraculous took place may have strong credibility. If
one miracle (e.g. the manna) is credible enough to be accepted,
then the standards of evidence for other miracles are reduced.
Section 1 | Section 2 | Section 3 | Section 4 | Section 5 | Section 6 | Section 7 | Section 8 | Section 9 | Section 10 | Section 11 | Section 12 | Chapter Summary
Now let me come finally to the most natural and strongest opposition
to this argument. Let's go back to the revelation at Sinai. I
said that there are two possibilities: Either the event took place
or it was made up. If it was made up, then you have to hop over
the obstacle that you can't get people to believe this sort of
thing.
Now the objection will be that this is too simplistic a classification,
that there is really a third intermediate level. They didn't just
make it up. Something happened, and that something was gradually
transformed by telling the story, adding, and embellishing. The
gradual transformation of imperfect information went together
with wishful thinking, glorifying your ancestors, and all the
other motivations. This kind of gradual embellishment is well
known by anthropologists. It is called myth formation and
it definitely takes place in other nations. Why can't stories
like the Revelation at Sinai, or the manna, or the crossing of
the Red Sea have at their base that some event really did take
place, but then was gradually glorified into a miracle?
There are two problems with this sort of "explanation."
One general problem is this: when you fill in the details of the
scenario it tends to become extremely implausible. Only by ignoring
the details does the scenario gain any initial interest. The second
problem is equally fundamental: If you think that an event which
was a natural event gradually glorified into this kind of supernatural
event, and you think that is normal, and a natural process for
a society at that time, then there ought to be parallels.
The Kuzari's principle is an empirical principle. You can defeat
it. You merely need to find cases. It is not enough to dream up
a scenario. You need to find real parallels.
SUMMARY
For the "explanation" of myth formation to defeat
the Kuzari's principle it must be plausible and
there must be real instances of parallel scenarios in history.
Section 1 | Section 2 | Section 3 | Section 4 | Section 5 | Section 6 | Section 7 | Section 8 | Section 9 | Section 10 | Section 11 | Section 12 | Chapter Summary
Let's take the manna as an illustration of both problems. There
is a book called The Bible As History by Werner Keller
who claims that the miracle of the manna "really took place."
The Jews left Egypt, and there are bushes in the Sinai desert
to this day which are periodically attacked by insects which bore
holes in the trunk of the bush. A sap which is sweet and nourishing
oozes out, and the Jews ate this sap as they traveled through
the desert. He claims that this makes the Bible into History.
(Of course this really makes the Bible false. The Bible doesn't
say anything about bushes and sap. The Bible says that they found
the manna scattered all over the desert every morning. ) Now here
is the suggestion. Every morning they went out and ate the sap
of the bushes, and then later it became gradually transformed
into the story of a miracle.
Now, as I said, you cannot trust your imagination. The question
here is an empirical one. Let's set up the conditions of the scenario.
The people who left Egypt ate the sap. Did they think it was a
miracle? Presumably not. Those bushes have been in existence for
over three thousand years. Presumably they were there before the
Jews left Egypt. Everyone knew about them. It was a well known
desert phenomenon. For them to go out and eat that which everyone
knows about, and for them to experience it as a miracle with a
quite different description is incredible. They knew they were
eating sap!
They go into the land of Israel. What do they teach their children?
Did they tell them a completely different story? Of course not.
They experienced it. The vast majority of people alive experienced
it. They couldn't simply discontinue the old story and make up
a brand new story on the spot that everybody tells the same way.
No, they must have told their children about the same story.
Well how did the breakdown occur? We can imagine little Reuven
sitting and listening to stories from his great-grandfather. And
the great-grandfather has become senile, his mind wanders, he
gets the details wrong, he makes up a few things and so on. Reuven
comes the next morning to play with his friends and says: "Boy,
do you know what great-granddad told me yesterday? He told me
this great story about all these things..." What will all
the other children say? "Gee, my father never told me about
that." They go home and ask their father, and their father
says Reuven's great-grandfather is 116 years old. People like
that make up stories.
One of the things needed is a credible scenario of the story developing
put into a real social context. Here it is quite difficult to
imagine how it could occur. But more than that. Here you have
an event that when it was experienced was a natural event,
and the event continues to occur. The bushes still exist.
People are still eating the sap from those bushes year after year.
The above scenario says that under these conditions, the story
was gradually elevated into the level of a miracle.
Now, I challenge you to find me a parallel. It is not enough
to make it up in your imagination. Find a parallel. Find a group
of people who experienced an event as a natural occurrence, who
interpret the event as a natural occurrence, the event continues
to occur regularly in their vicinity, and in spite of all that
they elevate it into an account of a miracle. If you find such
occurrences then that will weaken the argument here. I do not
know of any such parallel.
SUMMARY
Werner Keller's "explanation" of the manna fails
both requirements: there is no plausible account of how the story
of eating sap is transformed into the story of a miracle, and
there are no parallel cases of a continuous natural phenomenon
being elevated into a miracle.
Section 1 | Section 2 | Section 3 | Section 4 | Section 5 | Section 6 | Section 7 | Section 8 | Section 9 | Section 10 | Section 11 | Section 12 | Chapter Summary
The same has to be true with respect to every scenario. First
of all, the scenario has to be initially plausible. Most scenarios
are not even initially plausible, but even if they are, there
must also be a real parallel. Let's apply this now to the revelation
at Sinai.
Here is the proposed "explanation" of the belief in
revelation at Sinai in terms of myth formation. Maybe the Jewish
people were in the desert and there was a volcanic eruption or
an earthquake. These are very startling events. These are very
shocking events. They might even have been regarded as supernatural.
Then maybe later people told them that they heard voices, saw
visions and so on, and all of that elevated into the story of
Revelation. This is the sort of "explanation" which
myth formation offers. Here too the "explanation" suffers
from both implausibility and lack of parallels.
In order to see how implausible the "explanation" is,
let's take it in two stages. For the first stage, imagine that
the story says of itself that it has been passed down continuously
from the time of the event. In other words, the story says: "So-and-so
many years ago the entire ancestry of your nation stood at a mountain
and heard G-d speaking to them. They were commanded to tell the
story of this event to their children, and they to their children,
and the nation in fact did this." (There actually is something
like this in the Torah itself - cf. Deut. 4:9-10, 31: 9-13, 19-21.
But I will not use this below because it is not clear and prominent
enough.) Now we have to imagine a gradual process of taking a
natural event and promoting it into a national revelation, ending
with the story that this national revelation was always known
by the nation. But before you arrive at the story of a national
revelation no one knows about it! How are we supposed to imagine
that the universal knowledge of the story is promoted gradually?
Now for the second stage, suppose that the story does not say
that is was passed down continuously, but that the reader or listener
will automatically assume that it will be passed down continuously.
Then we have precisely the same problem as the last paragraph:
how can a story which the listener assumes must have been continuously
known be promoted gradually? This is the Kuzari's point: a
story of a national revelation will not be forgotten, and the
listener to whom the story is being sold knows this and
will use it in evaluating the story and deciding whether to believe
it. The problem of filling in the details of the gradual promotion
of such a story is a great obstacle to the hypothesis of myth
formation.
SUMMARY
There is no plausible explanation of how a story which clearly
implies that it has always been known could be accepted
by a people who did not know it.
Section 1 | Section 2 | Section 3 | Section 4 | Section 5 | Section 6 | Section 7 | Section 8 | Section 9 | Section 10 | Section 11 | Section 12 | Chapter Summary
Now for the second problem, the lack of historical parallels.
If the belief in the revelation at Sinai is the result of myth
formation applied to a natural event, and if that is a normal
sort of thing to happen, then it ought to happen more than once.
We are not the only people in history that have witnessed earthquakes
or who saw volcanic eruptions, or to whom typhoons took place,
or tidal waves or other events that could be regarded as supernatural.
If a belief in a public revelation could be produced by a natural
event, it should have been produced more than once. It is very
suspicious to say that here is a effect of a natural cause, a
normal cause, fitting in well with human psychology and the normal
human environment, but it only happened once in the history of
the world!
This is especially true with respect to a belief like this, because
a belief in a public revelation is the strongest possible foundation
for a religion. If somebody goes up on a mountain and says that
he heard G-d speak, either you believe him or you don't believe
him. It is then open for everyone else to doubt it and to say
that he either made it up or had delusions. It is much more powerful
logically to start out with a belief that an entire nation heard
G-d speak. Now if that kind of belief could have been made
up then it should have been made up more than once. After
all, it is logically the most sound foundation for a religion.
In addition, ancient religions borrowed from one another, they
were in contact with one another, they had a similar structure;
they have the same sort of Pantheon, the same sorts of beliefs.
Why wasn't this element ever borrowed? Our belief goes back at
least three thousand years. There was a lot of travel through
our area of the world. How is it that no one picked it up?
Thirdly, Christianity and Islam desperately need this belief.
Christianity and Islam in their early stages made strenuous efforts
to convert Jews. Now, if you are a Christian or a Moslem missionary
and you come to a Jew and you tell him that your leader is G-d,
or that your leader is a Prophet and so forth, the Jew responds:
"I don't know about your leader, all I know is that my ancestors
stood at Sinai, and you agree. You Christian, you Moslem agree
that my ancestors stood at Sinai. How can I now abandon that?
How can I contradict that?" What shall the Christian or Moslem
answer? That is one of the reasons that they did so poorly in
converting Jews. Because the Revelation at Sinai is a foundation
that is very difficult to contradict.
Now, according to myth formation there would have been a perfect
answer that the Christian or Moslem could have given. He could
have said: "You are right, your ancestors stood at Sinai,
but it happened again. Another public revelation. All of
your ancestors, five hundred years ago, stood again at another
mountain and heard the second edition, and we have the second
edition." Why did they not make up that kind of belief? If
this is the kind of belief that you can make up, why didn't they
make it up?
So, if you are working on a scenario about how the original belief
of the Revelation took place, you have an enormous obstacle to
overcome. The more plausible your scenario is, the more difficult
it is to explain why it didn't happen to anybody else. You are
sort of caught between two improbable alternatives. Either you
create a very implausible scenario so as to protect yourself from
the fact that no one else did it, but then it is implausible as
an explanation as to how it happened to us. Or you create a very
plausible scenario, in which case the question why no one else
ever did it is simply impossible to answer.
SUMMARY
The "explanation" of myth formation implies that
there ought to be parallels to our belief in public revelation,
especially since this is the strongest foundation for a religion,
and Christianity and Islam needed such a belief to offset Sinai.
The lack of such parallels discredits the "explanation."
In addition, the two conditions of plausibility and parallels
conflict: the more plausible the suggested scenario, the more
difficult it is to explain why no one else claims a public revelation.
Section 1 | Section 2 | Section 3 | Section 4 | Section 5 | Section 6 | Section 7 | Section 8 | Section 9 | Section 10 | Section 11 | Section 12 | Chapter Summary
The Kuzari's principle is that people won't believe in events
which would have left behind enormous, easily available evidence
of their occurrence, and didn't happen, and therefore didn't leave
behind enough evidence. Public miracles occurring to a whole nation
are those kinds of events and therefore if they didn't happen
then you cannot get people to believe in them. Eyewitness reports
are made compelling by the factors cited earlier. The manna fits
those factors perfectly, therefore the manna is a miracle for
which the argument works perfectly. It therefore reduces the level
of evidence necessary for other miracles. Then the fact that the
Jews have believed in these miracles historically can only be
explained by acknowledging that they took place.
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Chapter VII - Jewish Survival - the Fact and its Implications
Chapter V - Archeology
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